Chelsea visit Dynamo Kiev today at NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium at 17:55(CET).
Dynamo Kiev need a quickfire start after losing the 1st leg 3-0 in London, but they have managed to win 1 of 4 Europa League home games this season by a margin of multiple goals. Overall, their Europa League games at home have been relatively quiet in the 1st half, with the last 3 each producing a 1-0 half-time scoreline either way.
The owner of that 1-0 half-time lead on the night has gone on to win the game, with that scoreline being final on the last 2 occasions. The most recent of these (vs Olympiakos) also represents Dynamo’s most recent home victory against a top-seeded team (like Chelsea) drawn from pot 1 for the group stage.
That obviously won’t be enough for Dynamo though, and Chelsea are unbeaten in 6 Europa League away matches stretching back to 2013 (W5, D1). However, expectations of a Chelsea win by a multiple-goal margin on foreign soil are tempered by the fact that all 5 of those wins have come by 1 goal.
Even though Chelsea have not always been required to field their strongest XI in the Europa League, and need not play at 100% here, it is worth noting that they often win in style, with 3 of their last 4 Europa League victories seeing them score 3+ without reply.